Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007035 0.007910 0.008865 0.009990 0.011280 0.012716 0.014443
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.005542 0.006702 0.008080 0.009846 0.012067 0.014785 0.018393
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004792 0.006078 0.007690 0.009883 0.012817 0.016651 0.022115
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004174 0.005494 0.007223 0.009684 0.013148 0.017923 0.025141
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003835 0.005216 0.007094 0.009881 0.013985 0.019929 0.029418
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003497 0.004892 0.006852 0.009866 0.014485 0.021473 0.033190
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003104 0.004444 0.006379 0.009445 0.014307 0.021941 0.035293
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002868 0.004199 0.006173 0.009394 0.014676 0.023282 0.038993
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002781 0.004168 0.006281 0.009837 0.015876 0.026110 0.045666
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002530 0.003859 0.005928 0.009494 0.015716 0.026589 0.048135
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002331 0.003616 0.005658 0.009256 0.015703 0.027313 0.051151
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002204 0.003478 0.005544 0.009272 0.016135 0.028886 0.056060
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002144 0.003450 0.005619 0.009640 0.017282 0.032008 0.064809
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001999 0.003269 0.005420 0.009497 0.017456 0.033270 0.069847
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001897 0.003154 0.005324 0.009533 0.017973 0.035285 0.076921
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001772 0.002987 0.005121 0.009342 0.018010 0.036290 0.081799
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001712 0.002932 0.005115 0.009531 0.018845 0.039124 0.091668
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001629 0.002829 0.005012 0.009516 0.019246 0.041044 0.099601
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001503 0.002638 0.004730 0.009113 0.018757 0.040847 0.101896
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001431 0.002544 0.004625 0.009064 0.019049 0.042535 0.109697
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001420 0.002562 0.004740 0.009489 0.020470 0.047175 0.126921
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001325 0.002414 0.004514 0.009159 0.020087 0.047230 0.130560
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001248 0.002296 0.004341 0.008931 0.019923 0.047831 0.136030